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Azerbaijan is rapidly moving closer to the United States and NATO as Washington redirects its geopolitical focus from the Russo-Ukrainian War toward the South Caucasus. Azerbaijan’s expanding military, political, and strategic cooperation with the West risks turning the region into a new center of geopolitical confrontation involving Russia, Iran, and Western powers.

The US-Israeli war on Iran is exposing deep fissures in US-EU ties, with NATO allies increasingly resisting Washington’s unilateral approach and renewing calls for greater European strategic autonomy.

Ongoing Turkish-Greek contradictions periodically remind one of the internal disagreements within the NATO bloc, which could escalate into a new hotspot of tension in Europe. France’s choice in favor of a military alliance with Greece has caused concern in Türkiye.