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The July 7–8 NATO Summit in Türkiye was supposed to demonstrate the unity of all 32 members of the alliance. However, it yet again evidenced the schism between Washington and the rest of the bloc.

Canada’s landmark submarine deal with Germany signals more than defence modernization—it reflects Europe’s growing quest for strategic autonomy as Washington retreats from traditional alliance leadership. Yet by opening a new Arctic front against Russia while loosening transatlantic cohesion, the pact risks exposing NATO’s deepening fractures rather than reinforcing its collective strength.

As Türkiye carves out an independent foreign policy and expands its military and regional influence, Western strategic circles are increasingly casting Ankara as the next geopolitical challenger—proving that in international politics, today’s ally can quickly become tomorrow’s rival.