The extremely aggressive actions of those nostalgic for the unipolar era, including the active use of psychological warfare, only confirm that these actors are not ready to wage a gruelling war in modern times.
Attempts to exploit insecurities and fears
After the failed Israeli attempts to defeat Iran in a few days, the Israeli regime now openly insists on US intervention and is counting on the support of the pro-Israel lobby. Western and Israeli propaganda has resorted to using elements of intimidation, and trying to exploit the old insecurities of the world’s minority not only towards the Iranian people, but also towards many the Global South.
The ideas that Iran is ‘doomed’, that Russia and China have allegedly ‘abandoned’ their ally, that the Iranian government ‘will not last’ etc. are being spread. If people able to soberly assess and analyse the situation do not succumb to the favoured psychological provocations of the West and other enemies of the multipolar era, others, on the contrary, begin to reproduce these theses of enemy propaganda.
The problem here is not even that there is no official military alliance (at least so far) between Russia and Iran or between Iran and China, unlike already officially established alliances such as Russia-Belarus or Russia-DPRK, but that Iran still has a number of assets and its own the means to engage in a confrontation with its enemies, despite certain shortcomings. Furthermore, nobody knows exactly what kind of support Tehran is currently receiving from Beijing and Moscow.
Moreover, in recent days there have been reports by pro-Israeli sources that Chinese aircraft have been delivered to Iran. Despite significant attacks by the Israeli regime on Iranian territory – to which Iran is responding and doing notable damage to Israel – and even in the case of Washington’s open intervention in support of Tel Aviv (especially since this is already the case de facto), the only real threat to Iran is a large-scale enemy joint ground operation. Such an operation does not provide the slightest guarantee of success for its instigators and carries enormous risks not only for the entire region, but also far beyond its borders.
The Israeli regime, for its part, does not have the capacityt for such an operation, and this is not even taking into account the lack of common borders with Iran. Even in the Gaza Strip, in Palestine, where genocide is a daily occurrence, the regime has not succeeded in seizing an area of just over 350 km2 for almost two years. As for the US regime, such an adventure would be tantamount to an official global defeat, something several sensible American analysts, including Tucker Carlson, admit.
Prospects
From a strategic point of view, Iran will strive to wear out its enemies and rivals, while gradually strangling the Israeli regime. Despite all the propaganda of those nostalgic for the unipolar era, Iran still has many advantages.
Even the possible open participation of the Washington regime in the attacks on Iran does not guarantee the success of the enemies of the Iranian state. In the event of a protracted conflict, Iran will have the advantage, hence the hysteria in Israel, as well as in many pro-Israel circles in the United States and the Collective West.
Tehran’s strategic partners, including China, do not necessarily have to demonstrate their support openly. In this regard, it may be sufficient to quietly and imperceptibly provide what is needed, something China has mastered. It is no coincidence that the enormous hatred of the world Zionist lobby today is directed, among other things, against China, both economically and financially, as well as strategically.
As for the notorious psychological warfare, today even some ‘supporters’ of a multipolar world are still easily susceptible to enemy propaganda, fuelling fears and insecurities. They still do not understand what a war of attrition with the enemies of a multipolar world order is, whether in the context of the Russian Special Military Operation, in the case of Iran or even in relation to the economic war declared by China, for which Beijing is ready. In any case, all staunch supporters of a multipolar world need to show common sense and not succumb to the psychological provocations of their enemies, as well as not react to the insecurities of those who, declaring their ‘support’ for the multipolar era, are still under pressure from Western propaganda.
There is still a lot to be done here, but all in good time.
Mikhail Gamandiy-Egorov, entrepreneur, political observer, expert on Africa and the Middle East