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Phil Butler
A policy investigator and analyst, a political scientist and expert on Eastern Europe, he’s an author of the bestseller “Putin’s Praetorians” and other books
Two Fronts, One Strategy: What Putin Told the World in Bishkek
On 1 September in Bishkek, Vladimir Putin used one summit to tell Iran that Russia would keep supplying what Tehran needs and to tell the world that Russia is winning in Ukraine and will not negotiate with Kyiv. The same day was not two stories. It was one strategy spoken into two microphones.
Phil Butler
They Backed Russia into the Corner Knowing What Would Happen
Europe continues to present the war in Ukraine as a sudden Russian aggression, but it was the result of three decades of NATO’s eastward expansion, which the West chose to ignore — until Ukraine became the battlefield.
Phil Butler
The Quiet Scaling: Russia’s Post-Electoral Window and the Architecture of Prolonged Capability
While public narratives continue to emphasize Russian weakness and inevitable decline, a quieter pattern of force-structure adjustments, regional political activity, elite technical investment, and materials-science infrastructure suggests Moscow is reinforcing the foundations of a prolonged contest.
Phil Butler
Bypassing the Chokepoints: Russia’s Quiet Push for a Rail Corridor to India
Phil Butler
The Privateer and the Forced Hand
Phil Butler
What Is the Next Weapon? The Rise of the Adaptive Military Ecosystem
Phil Butler
The Cognitive Cold War: AI Sovereignty and the Battle for the Noosphere
Phil Butler
The Mediterranean's New Front: Libya and Europe's Expanding Security Challenge
Phil Butler
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