Today, Muslims comprise as much as 12% of the Thai population and have become part of the sociocultural and economic fabric of the nation. Their restaurants, businesses, and mosques are scattered across the country side-by-side Buddhist and secular businesses and institutions. Tolerance and mutual respect are hallmarks of this coexistence between people who identify themselves first as Thais, and second as members of their respective faiths.
Contrary to popular belief, of Thailand’s 7.5 million Muslims, only 1.4 million reside in the nation’s southernmost violence-racked provinces. However, in the south, Muslims represent over 70% of the population and observe cultural and political identities standing apart from Muslims throughout the rest of the nation. They do not see themselves as “Thais” first, but rather still as Malay.
These three southern most provinces – Yala, Pattani, and Narathiwat – and their unique circumstances, are a result of a regional power struggle stretching across centuries and includes more recently, attempts to use this region as a buffer between Thailand and British Malaya (now modern day, independent Malaysia).
Over the centuries, these three provinces once known as the Pattani Kingdom, have vacillated between a track of integration and assimilation within Thailand, to separatism and violent rebellion against it.
The struggle is and always has been primarily political in nature. And in addition to local power brokers who seek greater autonomy, external players throughout Southeast Asia’s history have used this region as a means of exerting pressure on Thailand as well.
Today, violence in Thailand’s southernmost provinces targets Buddhists, Muslims, and the secular alike. Multiple armed factions exist, with a Wikileaks cable more recently revealing that in addition to Malay separatists, areligious political fronts created and directed by ousted prime minister Thaksin Shinawatra are using the violence as cover to make their own contributions toward national and regional instability.
The 2009 cable titled, “Southern Violence: Midday Bomb Attack in Narathiwat August 25 Meant to Send a Signal,” revealed that the US Embassy had both contacts speaking directly with militants and that there was evidence Shinawatra was using their violence as cover (emphasis added):
The posting of the anti-Queen banners on her birthday, a national holiday, was both unusual and significant, but the fact that the banners were professionally printed on vinyl, written in perfect central Thai rather than the local Malay dialect, and touched on issues which don’t resonate in the south suggests those behind it were not local but national actors. Most in the know blame the red-shirts seeking to take advantage of inaction in the mosque attack case to undermine the Queen in particular and the monarchy in general.
The US Embassy cable also revealed (emphasis added):
Yala Vice-Governor Gritsada appeared surprised when we mentioned these banners to him on August 19, but he confirmed that the banners were written in perfect central Thai and mentioned issues that do not resonate down south, like the blue diamond. Gritsada said Pranai Suwannarat, the director of the Southern Border Provinces Administrative Center (SBPAC) had agreed these banners were the likely work of the UDD, not the insurgents. Sunai told us that the widespread presence of the banners indicates the strong organization and funding available to the UDD in Pattani province.
Just as inter Siamese-Pattani Kingdom tensions were used for leverage by the British Empire, and before that, Burmese invaders, today it appears the United States and its political proxies including Thaksin Shinawatra are using aspiring local power brokers and their aspirations toward greater autonomy as a geopolitical pressure point against Bangkok for their own self-serving ends.
There is also evidence that US-backed political fronts are attempting to create interreligious tensions between peacefully coexisting Thai Buddhist and Muslim communities across the rest of Thailand. Attempts are being made within Shinawatra’s former political stronghold of Chiang Mai to single out Muslims and their Halal industry as well as disingenuously link political violence in the deep south to all Muslims nationwide.
It is a tactic turned to just recently, after it became clear Shinawatra’s political front itself would be unable to successfully divide and upturn political order in Thailand.
While the conflict in the deep south is one that indeed has solutions being pursued by players on both sides, the path toward socioreligious division the US and its political proxies in Thailand are attempting to set the nation down represents a far greater danger to national security. Once tensions are successfully ignited, staged terrorism carried out by US-backed actors can strike anywhere, anytime, undermining the nation’s security, economy, and ultimately both its stability and survival. Similar tactics have been successfully used in neighboring Myanmar to sow social division and erode national stability until eventually, a US client state could be established.
Thais have shown remarkably high political acuity in regards to identifying staged provocations and avoiding attempts to undermine national unity through similar provocations. It will be essential that this acuity is maintained or even improved upon through government programs and initiatives throughout the Thai media to navigate the troubled waters external forces have prepared for the nation in the months and years to come.
Thais have achieved and protected interreligious tolerance and mutual respect for centuries. It is one of the nation’s many great strengths. And it is a matter of national security to continue maintaining it.
Tony Cartalucci, Bangkok-based geopolitical researcher and writer, especially for the online magazine “New Eastern Outlook.”
