Archives UAV - New Eastern Outlook

Recently the Russian Academy of Sciences’ Institute of China and Modern Asia published a forecast, to which the present author contributed, which noted that the most likely scenario for the outbreak of a conflict on the Korean Peninsula is that it could be sparked by irrational factors, including provocations mounted by a third party.

The situation in the Middle East has grown more tense in the past weeks following Iran’s intensive rocket attacks on Israel to avenge the assassinations of Hezbollah and Hamas leaders in Lebanon and Iran and Israel’s retaliatory strikes on Iranian territory.

Following the assassinations of Hamas political leader Ismail Haniye in Tehran and Hezbollah military leader F. Shukr, dark clouds stretch across the political horizon of the Middle East. If denoted, the amount of built-up tension will lead to the ignition of an armed fire in the region. It is clear that there is a chain reaction of threats, amplifying the mutual irreconcilability.