The general elections in Taiwan that are due in half a year (on January 13, 2024) are gradually becoming the most important of the factors accompanying the development of the Taiwanese agenda. Especially since various maneuvers around this agenda are continued by the USA and the PRC. That is, again, the importance of the factor of domestic political processes on the island, that by itself plays mostly the part of an important pretext and reason for a squabble between the currently-leading global powers, is drastically increasing (possibly, for a short period, but still increasing). First of all, it’s important to make note of the recent distinct…

Congressmen from the United States are provoking Beijing and making serious preparations for a military conflict with China over Taiwan. Florida’s Republican Senator Mark Rubio introduced ‘The Deterring Chinese Preemptive Strikes Act’ to Congress in the first week of May to fortify American military bases in the Pacific against potential missile assaults from Beijing. The text of the document was published on May 11 on the website of the congressman, who, citing data from analysts, predicts that in anticipation of a potential military invasion of Taiwan, China will attempt to strike…

So, two very noteworthy events in the development of the Taiwan problem took place, previously assumed to be possible. This refers to the off-island travels of current Taiwanese President Tsai Ing-wen and her immediate predecessor (between 2008 and 2016) Ma Ying-jeou. Once again, let us pay attention to the conventionality…

The island province of Taiwan has been pushed closer still to conflict by Washington recently as the US hosted a visit by Tsai Ing-Wen of the Democratic Progressive Party who currently heads the administration in Taipei. During her trip to the United States, Tsai Ing-Wen met with the current US Speaker of the House Kevin McCarthy in a move meant to deliberately undermine China’s sovereignty through oblique political recognition of separatist elements within China…

The trite claim that “global political processes are accelerating” is most glaring at their center, which is steadily evolving into the Indo-Pacific region as a whole and, notably, its “particularly heated” zones, of which Taiwan is still on the list. A number of events in the coming days could be indicative of both the maintenance and potential escalation of the level of “warming up”…

Unfortunately, but this author’s presentiment regarding the situation around Taiwan seems to come true. It is very likely that in the chain of “underwater volcanoes” stretching from the Korean peninsula to the eastern entrance to the Strait of Malacca and undermining the whole system of relations between the two leading world powers (the US and China) from time to time, the Taiwan political “volcano” is awakening...