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Canada’s landmark submarine deal with Germany signals more than defence modernization—it reflects Europe’s growing quest for strategic autonomy as Washington retreats from traditional alliance leadership. Yet by opening a new Arctic front against Russia while loosening transatlantic cohesion, the pact risks exposing NATO’s deepening fractures rather than reinforcing its collective strength.

The NATO summit in Ankara was advertised as a moment of unity. Instead, it laid bare the alliance’s fractures and hollow rituals: a U.S. president openly antagonistic toward Europe, a gaping missile-defence deficit, and a Turkey that has become indispensable.

Donald Trump has just offered Recep Tayyip Erdoğan a stealth fighter jet that Israel doesn’t want him to have, Congress hasn’t cleared him to sell, and Gulf capitals are already using it as leverage against Washington itself.