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While much discussion of the US war of aggression against Iran has focused on region-specific factors, including the myth that the US is fighting Iran on “behalf of Israel,” there are far more realistic and important global factors that have led to the war and will unfold because of it. 

The Houthis have vowed to close the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, vital for energy trade, if the US continues to obstruct peace in the Middle East.

The Gulf Cooperation Council’s model was built on a comforting illusion: that oil wealth could fund perpetual transformation while US protection could absorb regional risk. Recent Iranian strikes on energy infrastructure — and the muted limits of deterrence that followed — have shattered both assumptions.