Archives Economic crisis - Page 6 of 7 - New Eastern Outlook

The current financial crisis in Turkey demonstrates the rapid devaluation of the Turkish lira. After the second round of presidential elections, the Turkish lira has been falling in value almost daily, breaking new historic lows. Thus, on June 22 it overcame the psychological mark of 24 lira per dollar. All of this was the result of obvious irregularities in Turkey’s financial management, when the authorities, for populist purposes and pragmatic reasons of increasing the number of their supporters in elections, artificially kept the low credit rate of the Central Bank to encourage small business and support domestic production. However, the market system of the Turkish economy, one way or another, is integrated into the global economy, where the rules of financial lending and investment are determined not by the Turks, but by their Western allies. Accordingly, the policy of the Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey must take into account the international economic situation and established norms.

The dominance of the US dollar in the global economy continues to wane quietly but relentlessly as many countries actively seek other currencies. First and foremost, they are the BRICS nations of Russia, China, India, Brazil, and South Africa. Although it appeared to be only a few countries, the total population is over 3.23 billion, accounting for more than 40% of the world’s population.  Between 2000 and 2026, the BRICS population is expected to grow by 625 million people, most of them in India and China.  By 2020, the BRICS countries’ total GDP was 25% of the global (21 trillion dollars), and their share in international trade was about 20% (6.7 trillion dollars)…

The Turkish lira plunged to a new historic low after Erdoğan had won the second round of the presidential election, according to the Spanish daily newspaper La Vanguardia (today the dollar is worth 20 lira, but Western analysts predict that there will be another 40% drop, with the dollar equaling 28 lira). With inflation skyrocketing, Turkey’s president is pursuing a low-rate monetary policy (8.5%), which contradicts the theory of most economists. Why the Turkish lira is plummeting against the dollar as a result of the election is obviously not difficult to say. The reason is simple – the United States and the world financial institutions (stock markets)…